預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Arosa v Pontevedra CF

開賽時間: 2026-10-27 20:00 UTC

最終賽果: Arosa 2–0 Pontevedra CF

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Arosa (主隊)

預測 25.49%3.92公平賠率
EV -3.14%
優勢 -0.826%
Kelly -1.12%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.80

博彩公司預測分布
23.61%25.54%25.38%27.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.603.653.8031.25%27.78%27.40%26.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Pontevedra CF (客隊)

預測 47.81%2.09公平賠率
EV -1.98%
優勢 -0.968%
Kelly -1.89%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.05

博彩公司預測分布
44.59%47.65%47.83%50.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.751.911.912.0557.14%52.28%52.36%48.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.70%3.75公平賠率
EV +1.45%
優勢 +0.382%
Kelly +0.519%
成長率 +0.008%

假設最高賠率為 3.80

博彩公司預測分布
24.53%26.81%26.80%27.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.473.453.8030.30%28.84%28.99%26.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Arosa (主隊):25.49%;Pontevedra CF (客隊):47.81%;和局:26.70%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.75的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.80,對應+1.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.519%G +0.008%7.3%2026-10-27 19:38
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -7.24%E -3.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 19:35
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 19:35
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:35
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -7.24%E -3.73%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 19:55
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -9.26%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:45
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 19:55
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -11.30%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.42%E -1.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -7.09%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -10.11%E -5.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 19:50
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 19:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 19:40
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 19:48
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 19:48
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -17.16%E -5.28%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.06%E -3.50%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.06%E -3.50%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -15.88%E -4.81%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -1.98%E -0.968%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.90%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 19:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -18.43%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.90%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-27 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.92%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.47%EV -11.90%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-27 19:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-10-27 19:55