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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Neom v Al-Qadsiah

开赛时间： 2026-08-24 16:40 UTC

最终结果： Neom 0–2 Al-Qadsiah

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Neom (主队)

预测 15.55%6.43公平赔率
EV +1.08%
优势 +0.166%
Kelly +0.196%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.17%15.50%15.69%18.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.435.506.5021.28%18.42%18.18%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Qadsiah (客队)

预测 64.60%1.55公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -3.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
59.42%64.58%64.52%65.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.5273.53%69.30%69.69%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.85%5.04公平赔率
EV -3.32%
优势 -0.681%
Kelly -0.857%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.87

博彩公司预测分布
19.01%19.92%19.79%22.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.354.204.8725.64%22.98%23.81%20.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Neom (主队)：15.55%；Al-Qadsiah (客队)：64.60%；平局：19.85%。 对于“Neom (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.43。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+1.08%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.08%E +0.166%K +0.196%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:34
Pinnacle🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.66%EV +0.299%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.78%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 16:30
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.71%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.71%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 16:39
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.66%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.63%E -5.33%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.66%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 15:59
1xBet🎯5.99I 16.69%NM 16.14%EV -6.85%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.01%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.85%EV -3.32%E -0.681%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.38%EV -8.25%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.30%EV -10.21%E -7.35%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:12
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.70%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -12.92%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.70%EV -8.92%E -6.33%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.71%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 16:14
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -12.65%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -12.65%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:30
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 15:59
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:38
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.40%EV -12.15%E -8.93%K -33.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.68%EV -11.65%E -2.62%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-24 16:13
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -16.03%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.39%EV -10.21%E -7.35%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:14
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -1.81%E -1.19%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -25.36%E -5.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -3.75%E -2.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -25.36%E -5.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -25.36%E -5.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 16:39
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -26.14%E -5.50%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-24 16:38
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.21%EV -26.91%E -5.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 59.85%EV -7.63%E -5.33%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -22.57%E -5.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-24 16:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-08-24 16:30
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-08-24 16:34