Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Neom v Al-Qadsiah

Inizio: 2026-08-24 16:40 UTC

Finale: Neom 0–2 Al-Qadsiah

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Neom (Casa)

Previsione 15.55%6.43quota equa
EV +1.08%
Vantaggio +0.166%
Kelly +0.196%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.17%15.50%15.69%18.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.435.506.5021.28%18.42%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.60%1.55quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.42%64.58%64.52%65.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.441.5273.53%69.30%69.69%65.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.85%5.04quota equa
EV -3.32%
Vantaggio -0.681%
Kelly -0.857%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.01%19.92%19.79%22.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.354.204.8725.64%22.98%23.81%20.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Neom (Casa): 15.55%; Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta): 64.60%; Pareggio: 19.85%. Per Neom (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.43. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.08%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.08%E +0.166%K +0.196%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:34
Pinnacle🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.66%EV +0.299%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.78%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -8.68%E -1.89%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 16:30
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.71%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.71%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 16:39
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.66%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.63%E -5.33%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.66%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 15:59
1xBet🎯5.99I 16.69%NM 16.14%EV -6.85%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.01%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.85%EV -3.32%E -0.681%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.38%EV -8.25%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.30%EV -10.21%E -7.35%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:12
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.70%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -12.92%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.70%EV -8.92%E -6.33%K -21.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.71%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 16:14
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -12.65%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -12.65%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:30
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 15:59
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:38
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.40%EV -12.15%E -8.93%K -33.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.68%EV -11.65%E -2.62%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-24 16:13
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -16.03%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.39%EV -10.21%E -7.35%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:14
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -1.81%E -1.19%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -25.36%E -5.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -3.75%E -2.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -25.36%E -5.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -25.36%E -5.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -20.59%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 16:39
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -26.14%E -5.50%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -16.62%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-24 16:38
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.21%EV -26.91%E -5.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 59.85%EV -7.63%E -5.33%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -22.57%E -5.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-24 16:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-08-24 16:30
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-08-24 16:34