La scuola delle quote

Neom v Al-Kholood

Inizio: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Neom (Casa)

Previsione 49.63%2.01quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -3.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.48%49.63%49.58%52.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.801.801.9458.82%55.62%55.56%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Kholood (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.89%4.19quota equa
EV +7.73%
Vantaggio +1.72%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescita +0.170%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.50%23.96%23.78%24.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.944.004.5127.78%25.39%25.00%22.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.48%3.78quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -0.745%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.48%26.42%26.64%28.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.463.503.7032.26%28.90%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.50%EV +7.73%E +1.72%K +2.20%G +0.170%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 18:50
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:55
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:55
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.63%E -9.19%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -2.06%E -0.502%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.63%E -9.19%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -2.06%E -0.502%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -4.22%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -3.25%E -0.803%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 18:34
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 18:34
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -7.84%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 18:48
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 18:34
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -11.16%E -6.24%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.61%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 18:49
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -9.68%E -5.32%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 18:50
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 18:34
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 18:34
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 18:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.15%E -7.51%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -14.14%E -8.17%K -19.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -17.90%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%1.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%1.8%2026-02-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.99%2.6%2026-02-28 18:49