L’École des cotesFrançais
Neom v Al-Kholood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Neom (Local)
Prévision 49.63%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.48%49.63%49.58%52.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.801.801.9458.82%55.62%55.56%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Kholood (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV +7.73%
Avantage +1.72%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.170%
avec la cote maximale 4.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.50%23.96%23.78%24.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.944.004.5127.78%25.39%25.00%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.544%
Kelly -0.745%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.48%26.42%26.64%28.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.7032.26%28.90%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.50%EV +7.73%E +1.72%K +2.20%G +0.170% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -12.65%E -7.19%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.65%E -7.84%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV +0.330%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.63%E -9.19%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -2.06%E -0.502%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -15.63%E -9.19%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -2.06%E -0.502%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -4.22%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -3.25%E -0.803%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.19%E -4.43%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.70%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -7.84%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 18:48 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.67%E -5.93%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -11.16%E -6.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.61%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -9.68%E -5.32%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.18%E -5.02%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.15%E -7.51%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -14.14%E -8.17%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.00%E -3.89%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -17.90%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.99% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |