L’École des cotesFrançais
Neom v Al-Fayha
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Neom (Local)
Prévision 53.61%1.87cote équitable
EV +0.786%
Avantage +0.418%
Kelly +0.893%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.43%53.42%53.67%55.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.761.731.8861.73%56.83%57.80%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Fayha (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.56%4.86cote équitable
EV +2.82%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.704%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.40%20.60%20.50%23.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.224.105.0027.03%23.72%24.39%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.83%3.87cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.08%25.98%25.84%27.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.353.7832.26%29.66%29.85%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV +2.82%E +0.563%K +0.704%G +0.020% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.37%EV -4.95%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -2.33%E -0.490%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.80%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.13%EV -3.15%E -0.668%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.08%EV -2.37%E -0.628%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -11.54%E -7.00%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -3.35%E -0.714%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.14%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -10.55%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 16:27 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -12.19%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -12.61%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -13.15%E -8.12%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -16.06%E -4.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV +0.786%E +0.418%K +0.893%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV +0.786%E +0.418%K +0.893%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV +0.786%E +0.418%K +0.893%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -1.36%E -0.738%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -2.97%E -1.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -0.823%E -0.445%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -0.823%E -0.445%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.90%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -16.06%E -4.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-04 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.93%E -6.43%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -18.78%E -4.75%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -18.78%E -4.75%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.51%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.02%EV -23.92%E -6.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -19.93%E -6.43%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 50.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 18.02% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 31.57% | 33.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |