La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Neom v Al-Fayha
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Neom (Local)
Predicción 53.61%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.786%
Ventaja +0.418%
Kelly +0.893%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.43%53.42%53.67%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.761.731.8861.73%56.83%57.80%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Fayha (Visitante)
Predicción 20.56%4.86momio equitativo
EV +2.82%
Ventaja +0.563%
Kelly +0.704%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.40%20.60%20.50%23.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.224.105.0027.03%23.72%24.39%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.83%3.87momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.853%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.08%25.98%25.84%27.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.353.7832.26%29.66%29.85%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV +2.82%E +0.563%K +0.704%G +0.020% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.37%EV -4.95%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -2.33%E -0.490%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.80%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.13%EV -3.15%E -0.668%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.08%EV -2.37%E -0.628%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -11.54%E -7.00%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -3.35%E -0.714%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.02%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.14%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -10.55%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 16:27 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -12.19%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -12.61%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.60%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -13.15%E -8.12%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.64%E -3.25%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -16.06%E -4.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV +0.786%E +0.418%K +0.893%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV +0.786%E +0.418%K +0.893%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV +0.786%E +0.418%K +0.893%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -1.36%E -0.738%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -13.48%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -2.97%E -1.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -15.69%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -0.823%E -0.445%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -0.823%E -0.445%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.90%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -16.06%E -4.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.68%EV -7.26%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -17.35%E -5.42%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-04 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -17.75%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.93%E -6.43%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -18.78%E -4.75%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -18.78%E -4.75%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -14.77%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.51%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.02%EV -23.92%E -6.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -19.93%E -6.43%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 50.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 18.02% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 31.57% | 33.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |