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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Neom v Al-Fayha

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 16:50 UTC

最终结果： Neom 2–1 Al-Fayha

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Neom (主队)

预测 54.94%1.82公平赔率
EV -3.86%
优势 -2.20%
Kelly -5.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.62%54.95%55.27%57.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.641.631.7564.94%60.80%61.16%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Fayha (客队)

预测 20.01%5.00公平赔率
EV +7.87%
优势 +1.46%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.141%

假设最高赔率为 5.39

博彩公司预测分布
18.03%19.98%19.70%21.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.594.605.3923.81%21.79%21.74%18.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.05%3.99公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.463%
Kelly -0.621%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.92

博彩公司预测分布
24.51%25.07%25.03%26.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.613.603.9229.41%27.70%27.78%25.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Neom (主队)：54.94%；Al-Fayha (客队)：20.01%；平局：25.05%。 对于“Al-Fayha (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.00。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.39，对应+7.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.17%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 18.03%EV +7.87%E +1.46%K +1.79%G +0.141%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV -1.81%E -0.463%K -0.621%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.79%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.63%EV +1.87%E +0.366%K +0.456%G +0.009%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.57%EV -3.32%E -0.859%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -3.94%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -9.90%E -6.04%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.55%EV -6.94%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -9.08%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:43
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -3.86%E -2.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 16:35
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.00%E -6.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -11.55%E -7.17%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -11.55%E -7.17%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -11.55%E -7.17%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.10%E -7.56%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.67%EV -15.39%E -10.00%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -13.59%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-14 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -13.94%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 16:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.00%E -6.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 15:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:40
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-14 16:35
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.83%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%2.3%2026-08-14 16:45