Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Neom v Al-Fayha

Inizio: 2026-08-14 16:50 UTC

Finale: Neom 2–1 Al-Fayha

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Neom (Casa)

Previsione 54.94%1.82quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -5.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.62%54.95%55.27%57.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.641.631.7564.94%60.80%61.16%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Fayha (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.01%5.00quota equa
EV +7.87%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescita +0.141%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.03%19.98%19.70%21.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.594.605.3923.81%21.79%21.74%18.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.05%3.99quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.463%
Kelly -0.621%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.51%25.07%25.03%26.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.613.603.9229.41%27.70%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Neom (Casa): 54.94%; Al-Fayha (Trasferta): 20.01%; Pareggio: 25.05%. Per Al-Fayha (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.00. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.39, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.87%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.17%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 18.03%EV +7.87%E +1.46%K +1.79%G +0.141%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV -1.81%E -0.463%K -0.621%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.79%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.63%EV +1.87%E +0.366%K +0.456%G +0.009%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.57%EV -3.32%E -0.859%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -3.94%E -0.821%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -4.94%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.94%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -9.90%E -6.04%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.55%EV -6.94%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -9.08%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:43
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -3.86%E -2.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -9.35%E -5.67%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 16:35
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.00%E -6.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -11.55%E -7.17%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -11.55%E -7.17%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -11.55%E -7.17%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -7.94%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.10%E -7.56%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -9.94%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.67%EV -15.39%E -10.00%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -13.59%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-14 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -13.94%E -3.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 16:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.00%E -6.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -15.95%E -3.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-14 16:40
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-14 16:35
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.83%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%2.3%2026-08-14 16:45