La scuola delle quote

Neom v Al-Ettifaq

Inizio: 2026-05-21 18:00 UTC

Finale: Neom 1–1 Al-Ettifaq

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Neom (Casa)

Previsione 45.21%2.21quota equa
EV -4.61%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -4.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.25%45.34%45.10%48.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.961.952.1155.25%51.07%51.28%47.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ettifaq (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.32%3.30quota equa
EV +3.09%
Vantaggio +0.910%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.76%30.20%30.37%31.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.133.103.4036.36%31.96%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.47%4.09quota equa
EV +2.04%
Vantaggio +0.490%
Kelly +0.644%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.26%24.46%24.54%26.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.713.754.1730.77%26.97%26.67%23.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -14.56%E -7.70%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -15.46%E -8.27%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -15.46%E -8.27%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64%EV -17.27%E -9.44%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64%EV -17.27%E -9.44%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -18.17%E -10.04%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -1.45%E -0.448%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.32%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.83%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -6.28%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 17:50
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.96%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%EV +2.04%E +0.490%K +0.644%G +0.013%3.1%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 17:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -10.94%E -5.55%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.67%EV -6.91%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.10%EV -7.50%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 17:47
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 17:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -13.65%E -7.15%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -20.47%E -6.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -13.58%E -4.77%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -13.65%E -7.15%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-21 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-05-21 17:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.0%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-05-21 17:50