L’École des cotes

Neom v Al-Ettifaq

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 18:00 UTC

Score final : Neom 1–1 Al-Ettifaq

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Neom (Local)

Prévision 45.21%2.21cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.25%45.34%45.10%48.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.1155.25%51.07%51.28%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Ettifaq (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.32%3.30cote équitable
EV +3.09%
Avantage +0.910%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%30.20%30.37%31.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.133.103.4036.36%31.96%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.47%4.09cote équitable
EV +2.04%
Avantage +0.490%
Kelly +0.644%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%24.46%24.54%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.713.754.1730.77%26.97%26.67%23.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -14.56%E -7.70%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -15.01%E -7.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 17:50
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -15.46%E -8.27%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -15.46%E -8.27%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV +3.09%E +0.910%K +1.29%G +0.040%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64%EV -17.27%E -9.44%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.64%EV -17.27%E -9.44%K -20.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -18.17%E -10.04%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -1.45%E -0.448%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.32%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.83%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -6.28%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 17:50
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.96%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%EV +2.04%E +0.490%K +0.644%G +0.013%3.1%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 17:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -10.94%E -5.55%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.67%EV -6.91%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.10%EV -7.50%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 17:47
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 17:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -13.65%E -7.15%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -20.47%E -6.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -13.58%E -4.77%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 17:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -13.65%E -7.15%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-21 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-05-21 17:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.0%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-05-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-05-21 17:50