Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Diriyah Club v Al-Qadsiah

Inizio: 2026-09-03 18:00 UTC

Finale: Diriyah Club 0–2 Al-Qadsiah

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Diriyah Club (Casa)

Previsione 18.28%5.47quota equa
EV +9.70%
Vantaggio +1.62%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.188%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.68%18.19%18.30%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.345.406.0021.28%18.74%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.69%1.62quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.806%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.67%61.95%61.57%65.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.431.441.6075.76%69.71%69.44%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.02%4.99quota equa
EV +4.12%
Vantaggio +0.792%
Kelly +0.980%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.48%19.86%20.12%21.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.534.505.2023.81%22.07%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Diriyah Club (Casa): 18.28%; Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta): 61.69%; Pareggio: 20.02%. Per Diriyah Club (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.47. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.70%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.74%EV -17.33%E -12.93%K -50.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-03 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.74%EV -17.33%E -12.93%K -50.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-03 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.01%EV +5.13%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.055%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.38%EV -18.56%E -14.06%K -58.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -11.90%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.89%E -0.811%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.89%E -0.811%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 17:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.90%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 17:59
1xBet🎯5.41I 18.48%NM 17.94%EV -1.08%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.67%EV -1.29%E -0.806%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.38%EV -9.10%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -1.27%E -0.235%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -13.90%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:59
Pinnacle🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 17.83%EV -2.73%E -0.513%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -1.89%E -0.386%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:55
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.10%E -0.584%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 17:59
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.79%EV -11.32%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.47%EV -10.90%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.58%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +4.12%E +0.792%K +0.980%G +0.040%10.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.30%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 17:50
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:59
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -12.39%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV +0.112%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.93%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.90%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.5%2026-09-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-09-03 17:55
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-03 17:50
Smarkets◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-09-03 17:55