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Diriyah Club v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Diriyah Club (Local)
Predicción 18.28%5.47momio equitativo
EV +9.70%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.188%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.68%18.19%18.30%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.345.406.0021.28%18.74%18.52%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 61.69%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.806%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.67%61.95%61.57%65.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.431.441.6075.76%69.71%69.44%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.02%4.99momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.792%
Kelly +0.980%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.48%19.86%20.12%21.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.534.505.2023.81%22.07%22.22%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Diriyah Club (Local): 18.28%; Al-Qadsiah (Visitante): 61.69%; Empate: 20.02%. Para Diriyah Club (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.47. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.74%EV -17.33%E -12.93%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV +9.70%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.74%EV -17.33%E -12.93%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.01%EV +5.13%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.055% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.38%EV -18.56%E -14.06%K -58.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -11.90%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.89%E -0.811%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.89%E -0.811%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +0.561%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.90%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.94%EV -1.08%E -0.200%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.67%EV -1.29%E -0.806%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.38%EV -9.10%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -1.27%E -0.235%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -13.90%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.83%EV -2.73%E -0.513%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -1.89%E -0.386%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -3.10%E -0.584%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.62%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.58%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.79%EV -11.32%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.47%EV -10.90%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.58%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV +4.12%E +0.792%K +0.980%G +0.040% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.30%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -12.24%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -12.39%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV +0.112%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.93%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.90%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-03 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |