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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Taawoun v Al-Hilal

开赛时间： 2026-09-12 15:52 UTC

最终结果： Al-Taawoun 0–6 Al-Hilal

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Taawoun (主队)

预测 11.44%8.74公平赔率
EV +11.85%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.160%

假设最高赔率为 9.78

博彩公司预测分布
9.68%11.34%11.28%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.468.819.7814.29%11.82%11.35%10.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Hilal (客队)

预测 71.47%1.40公平赔率
EV -4.94%
优势 -3.72%
Kelly -14.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
70.00%71.60%71.59%73.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.251.251.3385.47%80.04%80.32%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.09%5.85公平赔率
EV +0.842%
优势 +0.143%
Kelly +0.172%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.90

博彩公司预测分布
16.23%17.06%17.14%17.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.355.405.9020.00%18.68%18.52%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Taawoun (主队)：11.44%；Al-Hilal (客队)：71.47%；平局：17.09%。 对于“Al-Taawoun (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.74。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.78，对应+11.85%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯9.78I 10.22%NM 9.82%EV +11.85%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.160%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV +0.842%E +0.143%K +0.172%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-12 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +8.65%E +0.911%K +1.02%G +0.088%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 15:15
SportsBet🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.89%EV +5.79%E +0.626%K +0.702%G +0.041%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.77%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.34%EV -4.29%E -0.765%K -0.932%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:35
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:15
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:16
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -13.52%E -11.17%K -64.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -9.41%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 15:15
Pinnacle🎯8.62I 11.60%NM 10.98%EV -1.41%E -0.164%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.23%EV -0.355%E -0.061%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -2.79%E -0.328%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:31
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.79%E -0.328%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.27%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.07%EV -2.79%E -0.328%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 73.15%EV -16.38%E -14.00%K -96.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.78%EV -12.83%E -2.52%K -3.13%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 15:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -8.50%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:25
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -8.50%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.27%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.27%EV -11.36%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.60%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.13%EV -12.83%E -2.52%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.54%EV -13.08%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.27%EV -12.09%E -9.83%K -52.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -12.83%E -2.52%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.47%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.34%EV -4.29%E -0.765%K -0.932%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:45
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 15:29
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -17.08%E -2.36%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.07%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 15:45
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -19.94%E -2.85%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 15:38
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-09-12 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-09-12 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-09-12 15:36
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-09-12 15:35
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-09-12 15:45