Langue:Français
Al-Taawoun v Al-Hilal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Prévision 11.44%8.74cote équitable
EV +11.85%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.160%
avec la cote maximale 9.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.68%11.34%11.28%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.468.819.7814.29%11.82%11.35%10.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Hilal (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.47%1.40cote équitable
EV -4.94%
Avantage -3.72%
Kelly -14.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.00%71.60%71.59%73.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.251.251.3385.47%80.04%80.32%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 17.09%5.85cote équitable
EV +0.842%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.172%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.23%17.06%17.14%17.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.355.405.9020.00%18.68%18.52%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Taawoun (Local) : 11.44% ; Al-Hilal (Visiteur) : 71.47% ; Match nul : 17.09%. Pour Al-Taawoun (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.74. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.78, soit une espérance positive de +11.85%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.82%EV +11.85%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.160% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.28%EV +0.842%E +0.143%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +8.65%E +0.911%K +1.02%G +0.088% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.89%EV +5.79%E +0.626%K +0.702%G +0.041% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.77%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.34%EV -4.29%E -0.765%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -11.38%E -9.17%K -47.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 15:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV +2.93%E +0.326%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -13.52%E -11.17%K -64.38%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -9.41%E -1.78%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.62I 11.60%NM 10.98%EV -1.41%E -0.164%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.23%EV -0.355%E -0.061%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -2.79%E -0.328%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.79%E -0.328%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.27%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.07%EV -2.79%E -0.328%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.15%EV -16.38%E -14.00%K -96.35%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.78%EV -12.83%E -2.52%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-12 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -8.50%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.00%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -8.50%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.27%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.27%EV -11.36%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.60%EV -12.81%E -10.50%K -58.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.13%EV -12.83%E -2.52%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.54%EV -13.08%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.27%EV -12.09%E -9.83%K -52.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -12.83%E -2.52%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.47%EV -8.52%E -6.65%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.34%EV -4.29%E -0.765%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.22%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -17.08%E -2.36%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.07%EV -9.95%E -7.89%K -38.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -7.70%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -19.94%E -2.85%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.66%E -8.53%K -42.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -14.54%E -2.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 15:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.02% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55% | 2.9% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |