L’École des cotes

Al-Taawoun v Al-Fateh

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Taawoun (Local)

Prévision 50.52%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -3.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.98%50.53%50.53%52.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.851.9157.80%54.64%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Fateh (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.50%4.25cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.464%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%23.41%23.51%25.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.773.704.3228.99%26.51%27.03%23.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV -3.90%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.31%26.06%25.96%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.7032.26%28.83%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%EV -4.01%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48%EV +1.54%E +0.356%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.42%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -1.28%E -0.305%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -1.28%E -0.305%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 18:21
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.28%E -0.305%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 18:20
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.08%EV -3.40%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.98%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.98%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -5.98%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.33%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -10.07%E -5.66%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.33%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.47%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.15%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.49%E -6.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 18:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:15
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -14.21%E -3.89%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 18:15
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.38%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 18:15
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -15.38%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 18:10
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:56
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-06 18:15
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -17.73%E -5.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 18:56
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -18.91%E -5.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 18:56
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -18.91%E -5.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-03-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-03-06 18:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-03-06 18:50