La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Taawoun v Al-Fateh
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Predicción 50.52%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.98%50.53%50.53%52.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.851.9157.80%54.64%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Fateh (Visitante)
Predicción 23.50%4.25momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.356%
Kelly +0.464%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%23.41%23.51%25.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.773.704.3228.99%26.51%27.03%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.97%3.85momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.31%26.06%25.96%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.7032.26%28.83%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%EV -4.01%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48%EV +1.54%E +0.356%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.42%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -1.28%E -0.305%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -1.28%E -0.305%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 18:21 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -1.28%E -0.305%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.08%EV -3.40%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.98%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 18:45 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.98%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -5.98%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.33%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -10.07%E -5.66%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.33%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.47%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.15%E -2.95%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.49%E -6.29%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-06 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.03%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -14.21%E -3.89%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -15.38%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -15.38%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-06 18:10 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -16.56%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-06 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -17.73%E -5.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -18.91%E -5.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -18.91%E -5.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.49% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |