Language:English
Al-Taawoun v Al-Fateh
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Taawoun (Local)
Prediction 51.28%1.95fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.25%51.13%51.35%52.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.45%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Fateh (Visit)
Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.15%24.18%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.50%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.12%24.72%24.47%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.523.8730.30%27.91%28.37%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Taawoun (Local): 51.28%; Al-Fateh (Visit): 24.17%; Draw: 24.55%. For Al-Fateh (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -3.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 06:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.13%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.88%EV -7.68%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -15.29%E -4.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.25%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -19.02%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.25%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -19.02%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 01:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.36%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.52%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.14%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 03:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.62%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.25%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -20.23%E -6.13%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -18.98%E -5.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.31%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 15:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.14%EV -10.78%E -6.20%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -16.61%E -4.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.57%EV -12.84%E -3.62%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.77%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.84%E -3.62%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -11.61%E -3.22%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-03 03:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |