Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Taawoun v Al-Fateh

Inizio: 2026-09-05 15:55 UTC

Finale: Al-Taawoun 0–0 Al-Fateh

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Taawoun (Casa)

Previsione 51.28%1.95quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -4.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.25%51.13%51.35%52.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.45%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Fateh (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.17%4.14quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -0.828%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.05%24.15%24.18%26.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.50%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.55%4.07quota equa
EV -4.98%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.12%24.72%24.47%26.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.583.523.8730.30%27.91%28.37%25.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Taawoun (Casa): 51.28%; Al-Fateh (Trasferta): 24.17%; Pareggio: 24.55%. Per Al-Fateh (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.14. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.00, con un valore atteso del -3.31%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 07:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 06:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.13%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.88%EV -7.68%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -15.29%E -4.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.25%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -19.02%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.25%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -19.02%E -5.68%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-04 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.73%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.36%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 12:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 01:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 01:55
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.52%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.14%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 03:45
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.62%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.25%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -20.23%E -6.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -18.98%E -5.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-04 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.31%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 15:58
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.15%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.15%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.98%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-02 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.14%EV -10.78%E -6.20%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -16.61%E -4.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.57%EV -12.84%E -3.62%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -11.77%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.84%E -3.62%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 15:59
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -11.61%E -3.22%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-03 03:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%6.8%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%6.8%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%6.8%2026-09-04 13:20
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%6.9%2026-09-04 13:20