La scuola delle quote

Al-Shabab v Al-Taawoun

Inizio: 2026-05-03 16:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Shabab 1–5 Al-Taawoun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Shabab (Casa)

Previsione 41.96%2.38quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.772%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.02%41.93%41.97%42.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.202.202.3448.78%45.35%45.45%42.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Taawoun (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.22%3.10quota equa
EV -1.41%
Vantaggio -0.460%
Kelly -0.684%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.34%32.19%32.29%33.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.802.803.0638.17%35.75%35.71%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.82%3.87quota equa
EV -3.96%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.28%25.89%25.73%28.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.423.403.7233.33%29.28%29.41%26.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%EV -1.81%E -0.772%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.72%EV -1.41%E -0.460%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 15:06
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.17%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 15:15
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.84%E -3.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -2.37%E -0.784%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:46
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -11.40%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:15
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.40%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 15:15
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:35
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -8.52%E -3.91%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -16.09%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:46
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:46
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:46
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 15:15
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.62%E -4.98%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.73%EV -12.04%E -4.41%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -8.87%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.26%E -5.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.55%E -7.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-03 15:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -13.97%E -6.82%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%EV -15.58%E -5.95%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.28%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-05-03 15:46
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-05-03 15:55