L’École des cotes

Al-Shabab v Al-Taawoun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 16:00 UTC

Score final : Al-Shabab 1–5 Al-Taawoun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Shabab (Local)

Prévision 41.96%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.02%41.93%41.97%42.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3448.78%45.35%45.45%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Taawoun (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.22%3.10cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.684%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.34%32.19%32.29%33.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.802.803.0638.17%35.75%35.71%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.28%25.89%25.73%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.403.7233.33%29.28%29.41%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%EV -1.81%E -0.772%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.72%EV -1.41%E -0.460%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -4.32%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 15:06
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.17%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 15:15
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:35
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.51%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.84%E -3.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -2.37%E -0.784%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 15:46
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -11.40%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:15
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.40%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 15:15
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:35
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -8.52%E -3.91%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -16.09%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 15:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:46
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:46
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:46
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.79%E -3.49%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 15:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 15:15
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.62%E -4.98%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.73%EV -12.04%E -4.41%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -8.87%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -13.01%E -4.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -11.88%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.26%E -5.80%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.55%E -7.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-03 15:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -13.97%E -6.82%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%EV -15.58%E -5.95%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.28%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-05-03 15:46
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-05-03 15:55