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Al-Shabab v Al-Riyadh

2026-08-25 18:00 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Shabab (Local)

Prediction 53.08%1.88fair odd
EV -7.10%
Edge -4.06%
Kelly -9.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%52.90%53.03%55.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.691.7563.69%59.37%59.35%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Riyadh (Visit)

Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.63%23.16%23.18%24.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.2027.78%24.89%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.88%4.19fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.85%23.95%23.79%25.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.61%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Shabab (Local): 53.08%; Al-Riyadh (Visit): 23.04%; Draw: 23.88%. For Al-Riyadh (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -3.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 11:20
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.77%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -5.93%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 13:10
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.71%EV -7.63%E -4.39%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.63%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -8.16%E -4.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.16%E -4.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 10:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.16%E -4.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -9.76%E -5.74%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.76%E -5.74%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 10:14
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.76%E -5.74%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -16.43%E -4.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 11:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.76%E -5.74%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -16.43%E -4.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.76%E -5.74%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -16.43%E -4.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.76%E -5.74%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -16.43%E -4.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.75%EV -10.29%E -6.09%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -10.82%E -6.44%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 10:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.35%E -6.80%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.00%EV -12.94%E -7.89%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -15.91%E -4.36%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.47%E -8.27%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.39%EV -14.53%E -9.03%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.24%EV -14.53%E -9.03%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.24%EV -14.53%E -9.03%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.54%EV -16.66%E -10.61%K -29.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.68%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-23 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-08-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%6.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%6.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%6.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%15.8%2026-08-23 10:10