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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Shabab v Al-Riyadh

开赛时间： 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Shabab 3–3 Al-Riyadh

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Shabab (主队)

预测 54.50%1.83公平赔率
EV -4.63%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -6.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.15%54.66%54.54%57.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.661.671.7564.10%60.22%59.88%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Riyadh (客队)

预测 22.09%4.53公平赔率
EV +3.84%
优势 +0.816%
Kelly +1.04%
增长率 +0.040%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
19.56%21.84%22.22%23.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.184.204.7026.32%23.90%23.81%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.41%4.27公平赔率
EV -3.79%
优势 -0.922%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.11

博彩公司预测分布
22.98%23.50%23.23%24.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.793.804.1128.17%26.41%26.32%24.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Shabab (主队)：54.50%；Al-Riyadh (客队)：22.09%；平局：23.41%。 对于“Al-Riyadh (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.53。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.70，对应+3.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -12.80%E -8.00%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV +3.84%E +0.816%K +1.04%G +0.040%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.37%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:59
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.48%EV -4.63%E -2.64%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.84%EV +2.95%E +0.634%K +0.807%G +0.024%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%EV -4.02%E -0.981%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -4.63%E -2.64%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.79%E -0.634%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 15:34
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -10.08%E -6.11%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -2.79%E -0.634%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.71%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.35%E -4.33%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -3.90%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.71%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.63%E -2.64%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -4.34%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 15:34
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.34%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.90%EV -5.72%E -3.31%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -4.56%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.11%EV -3.79%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -9.53%E -5.74%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.10%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -9.53%E -5.74%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.10%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -9.53%E -5.74%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.10%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 17:50
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 17:59
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.39%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.34%EV -13.35%E -8.39%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.20%EV -8.31%E -2.00%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-25 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -9.53%E -5.74%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -7.54%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -12.26%E -7.61%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.56%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-25 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -12.26%E -7.61%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.56%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-25 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.95%EV -8.44%E -5.03%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.38%EV -10.52%E -2.60%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.67%EV -10.34%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 17:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -10.62%E -6.48%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -9.88%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 17:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 17:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.73%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.66%EV -14.98%E -9.60%K -26.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.02%EV -16.90%E -4.76%K -6.63%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-25 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.98%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -11.05%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 17:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-25 16:05
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.6%2026-08-25 17:54