Language:English
Al-Shabab v Al-Qadsiah
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Shabab (Local)
Prediction 19.10%5.24fair odd
EV -0.887%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.69%19.05%19.12%19.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.884.955.1923.09%20.48%20.20%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Qadsiah (Visit)
Prediction 60.40%1.66fair odd
EV -0.941%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.79%60.37%60.46%62.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.501.6469.93%66.36%66.67%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.50%4.88fair odd
EV -0.774%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.202%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%20.58%20.42%22.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.224.274.8426.32%23.67%23.45%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Shabab (Local): 19.10%; Al-Qadsiah (Visit): 60.40%; Draw: 20.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.84, with an expected value of -0.774%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.23%EV -0.887%E -0.171%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.54%EV -0.774%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-13 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.59%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.15%EV -3.18%E -0.627%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -0.941%E -0.574%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -8.15%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.23%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -11.21%E -7.63%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.69%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -19.02%E -4.82%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-13 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -11.21%E -7.63%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -20.05%E -5.14%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -11.21%E -7.63%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -20.05%E -5.14%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.62%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.43%EV -8.77%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.73%EV -13.63%E -9.53%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.48%EV -22.10%E -5.81%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-13 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.29%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.11%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -10.82%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-13 17:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -9.29%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-13 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.78%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -14.06%E -3.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.89%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-13 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -17.31%E -4.00%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.06%EV -13.02%E -9.04%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -11.23%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-13 17:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.67% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |