Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Shabab v Al-Qadsiah

Inizio: 2026-08-13 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Shabab 1–3 Al-Qadsiah

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Shabab (Casa)

Previsione 19.10%5.24quota equa
EV -0.887%
Vantaggio -0.171%
Kelly -0.212%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.69%19.05%19.12%19.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.884.955.1923.09%20.48%20.20%19.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.40%1.66quota equa
EV -0.941%
Vantaggio -0.574%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.79%60.37%60.46%62.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.511.501.6469.93%66.36%66.67%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.50%4.88quota equa
EV -0.774%
Vantaggio -0.160%
Kelly -0.202%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.54%20.58%20.42%22.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.224.274.8426.32%23.67%23.45%20.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Shabab (Casa): 19.10%; Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta): 60.40%; Pareggio: 20.50%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.88. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.84, con un valore atteso del -0.774%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯5.19I 19.27%NM 18.23%EV -0.887%E -0.171%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.54%EV -0.774%E -0.160%K -0.202%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 17:50
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 17:40
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.59%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 17:24
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 17:25
1xBet🎯5.07I 19.72%NM 19.15%EV -3.18%E -0.627%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -0.941%E -0.574%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -8.15%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 17:49
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 17:40
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.59%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.23%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 17:44
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-13 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -11.21%E -7.63%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -4.52%E -0.903%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.69%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -19.02%E -4.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -11.21%E -7.63%K -23.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -20.05%E -5.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-13 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -11.21%E -7.63%K -23.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -20.05%E -5.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-13 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.62%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.43%EV -8.77%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-13 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 59.73%EV -13.63%E -9.53%K -31.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.48%EV -22.10%E -5.81%K -7.89%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-13 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.29%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.11%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -10.82%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 17:38
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -9.29%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-13 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.78%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-13 17:55
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 17:54
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.40%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -14.06%E -3.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.89%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -9.79%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-13 17:55
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -17.31%E -4.00%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.06%EV -13.02%E -9.04%K -29.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -11.23%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-13 17:53
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.67%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54%0.4%2026-08-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-08-13 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-08-13 17:50
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-08-13 17:50
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-08-13 17:30