La scuola delle quote

Al-Shabab v Al-Hilal

Inizio: 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Shabab (Casa)

Previsione 19.32%5.18quota equa
EV +15.93%
Vantaggio +2.66%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescita +0.508%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.38%19.24%19.29%20.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.165.006.0023.09%19.40%20.00%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Hilal (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.78%1.67quota equa
EV -4.35%
Vantaggio -2.72%
Kelly -7.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.70%59.87%59.74%64.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.481.501.6072.99%67.67%66.67%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.90%4.79quota equa
EV +4.70%
Vantaggio +0.938%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescita +0.055%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.33%20.88%20.97%22.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.474.505.0125.00%22.37%22.22%19.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +12.07%E +2.08%K +2.51%G +0.303%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -16.31%E -11.65%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -3.87%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +12.07%E +2.08%K +2.51%G +0.303%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -16.31%E -11.65%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -3.87%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:40
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV +11.10%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.82%EV -18.10%E -13.21%K -48.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV +11.10%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.82%EV -18.10%E -13.21%K -48.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 18:39
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV +0.473%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:54
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.72%EV -2.23%E -0.441%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.33%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.95%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 18:49
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.87%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 18:39
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:54
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:55
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:54
1xBet4.81I 20.79%NM 20.14%EV -7.06%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.53%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.33%EV +4.70%E +0.938%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.3%2026-02-27 18:54
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:54
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:54
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -9.19%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -11.18%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:55
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.41%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -10.14%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:54
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:54
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:54
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:54
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-02-27 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-02-27 18:54
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10%1.6%2026-02-27 18:54