L’École des cotes

Al-Shabab v Al-Hilal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Shabab (Local)

Prévision 19.32%5.18cote équitable
EV +15.93%
Avantage +2.66%
Kelly +3.19%
Croissance +0.508%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.38%19.24%19.29%20.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.165.006.0023.09%19.40%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Hilal (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.78%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -7.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.70%59.87%59.74%64.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.481.501.6072.99%67.67%66.67%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.90%4.79cote équitable
EV +4.70%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 5.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.33%20.88%20.97%22.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.474.505.0125.00%22.37%22.22%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +15.93%E +2.66%K +3.19%G +0.508%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -15.11%E -10.64%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.78%E -0.378%K -0.480%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +12.07%E +2.08%K +2.51%G +0.303%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -16.31%E -11.65%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -3.87%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV +12.07%E +2.08%K +2.51%G +0.303%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -16.31%E -11.65%K -40.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -3.87%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:40
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV +11.10%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.82%EV -18.10%E -13.21%K -48.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV +11.10%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.82%EV -18.10%E -13.21%K -48.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 18:39
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV +0.473%E +0.091%K +0.113%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:54
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.72%EV -2.23%E -0.441%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.33%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.95%EV -5.54%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 18:49
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.87%E -0.841%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 18:39
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:54
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -3.39%E -0.678%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:55
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -5.32%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:54
1xBet4.81I 20.79%NM 20.14%EV -7.06%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.53%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.33%EV +4.70%E +0.938%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.3%2026-02-27 18:54
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.05%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:54
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:54
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -9.19%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -11.18%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.96%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:55
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.41%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -10.14%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:54
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:54
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:54
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:54
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.23%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-02-27 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-02-27 18:54
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10%1.6%2026-02-27 18:54