Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Shabab v Al-Hilal

Inizio: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Shabab 0–2 Al-Hilal

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Shabab (Casa)

Previsione 11.62%8.61quota equa
EV +4.57%
Vantaggio +0.507%
Kelly +0.571%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.23%11.59%11.55%12.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.737.509.0014.29%12.94%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Hilal (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.57%1.38quota equa
EV -5.65%
Vantaggio -4.35%
Kelly -18.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.33%72.40%72.78%74.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.26%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 15.81%6.33quota equa
EV -1.20%
Vantaggio -0.193%
Kelly -0.229%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.08%16.01%15.67%17.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.545.506.2520.00%18.06%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Shabab (Casa): 11.62%; Al-Hilal (Trasferta): 72.57%; Pareggio: 15.81%. Per Al-Shabab (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.61. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.57%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.57%E +0.507%K +0.571%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +4.57%E +0.507%K +0.571%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.90%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:45
1xBet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +2.24%E +0.255%K +0.287%G +0.006%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.37%E -0.722%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:20
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:10
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 14:04
Pinnacle🎯8.37I 11.95%NM 11.26%EV -2.75%E -0.329%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.65%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.229%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.05%E -0.882%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.05%E -0.882%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -6.74%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.01%E -3.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 09:24
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.24%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -17.80%E -3.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 09:24
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.24%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -17.80%E -3.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 09:25
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 11.96%EV -14.02%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.95%EV -10.73%E -8.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -15.77%E -2.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.02%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -9.90%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:45
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:45
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 70.92%EV -12.19%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -19.38%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-04 09:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.48%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-09-04 12:55