Langue:Français
Al-Shabab v Al-Hilal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Shabab (Local)
Prévision 11.62%8.61cote équitable
EV +4.57%
Avantage +0.507%
Kelly +0.571%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.23%11.59%11.55%12.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.007.737.509.0014.29%12.94%13.33%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Hilal (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.57%1.38cote équitable
EV -5.65%
Avantage -4.35%
Kelly -18.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.33%72.40%72.78%74.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.26%79.37%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.81%6.33cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.08%16.01%15.67%17.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.545.506.2520.00%18.06%18.18%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Shabab (Local) : 11.62% ; Al-Hilal (Visiteur) : 72.57% ; Match nul : 15.81%. Pour Al-Shabab (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.61. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.57%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.57%E +0.507%K +0.571%G +0.026% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +4.57%E +0.507%K +0.571%G +0.026% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.90%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV +2.24%E +0.255%K +0.287%G +0.006% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -4.37%E -0.722%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -1.24%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.26%EV -2.75%E -0.329%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.65%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.05%E -0.882%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.05%E -0.882%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.78%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -6.74%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -5.16%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.81%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.22%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.01%E -3.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.24%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -17.80%E -3.42%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.24%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -17.80%E -3.42%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -12.86%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.96%EV -14.02%E -1.90%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.95%EV -10.73%E -8.73%K -46.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -15.77%E -2.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.02%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -9.90%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.38%E -4.95%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -13.06%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -18.67%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 70.92%EV -12.19%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -19.38%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.48% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |