默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Riyadh v Neom

开赛时间: 2026-08-28 15:54 UTC

最终结果: Al-Riyadh 1–0 Neom

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Riyadh (主队)

预测 23.93%4.18公平赔率
EV -0.930%
优势 -0.225%
Kelly -0.296%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.14

博彩公司预测分布
22.45%23.79%23.95%26.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.643.604.1431.25%27.51%27.78%24.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Neom (客队)

预测 49.69%2.01公平赔率
EV -4.59%
优势 -2.39%
Kelly -4.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
47.24%49.84%49.66%51.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.851.831.9257.80%54.16%54.50%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.38%3.79公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -0.505%
Kelly -0.690%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.72

博彩公司预测分布
24.68%26.37%26.39%27.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.473.503.7230.77%28.82%28.57%26.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Riyadh (主队):23.93%;Neom (客队):49.69%;平局:26.38%。 对于“Al-Riyadh (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.18。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.14,期望值为-0.930%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.42%EV -0.930%E -0.225%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -1.88%E -0.505%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -1.89%E -0.460%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -12.04%E -6.80%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 15:40
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.19%EV -2.13%E -0.520%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.18%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.10%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 15:26
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.40%E -0.650%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 15:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.40%E -0.650%K -0.891%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 15:35
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -8.57%E -4.65%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -8.35%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.72%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.53%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 15:36
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 15:26
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.05%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 15:50
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 15:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:36
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:36
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:36
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -12.54%E -7.13%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 15:25
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -14.03%E -8.11%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-28 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -21.03%E -6.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -21.03%E -6.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -21.03%E -6.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -23.42%E -7.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.30%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-28 15:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-08-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-08-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-08-28 15:50
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%5.1%2026-08-28 15:50
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%6.1%2026-08-28 15:50