Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Riyadh v Neom

Inizio: 2026-08-28 15:54 UTC

Finale: Al-Riyadh 1–0 Neom

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 23.93%4.18quota equa
EV -0.930%
Vantaggio -0.225%
Kelly -0.296%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.45%23.79%23.95%26.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.643.604.1431.25%27.51%27.78%24.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Neom (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.69%2.01quota equa
EV -4.59%
Vantaggio -2.39%
Kelly -4.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.24%49.84%49.66%51.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.851.831.9257.80%54.16%54.50%52.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.38%3.79quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.505%
Kelly -0.690%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.68%26.37%26.39%27.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.473.503.7230.77%28.82%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Riyadh (Casa): 23.93%; Neom (Trasferta): 49.69%; Pareggio: 26.38%. Per Al-Riyadh (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.18. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.14, con un valore atteso del -0.930%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.42%EV -0.930%E -0.225%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -1.88%E -0.505%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -1.89%E -0.460%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -12.04%E -6.80%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 15:40
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.19%EV -2.13%E -0.520%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.18%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -6.10%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 15:26
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.40%E -0.650%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 15:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -2.40%E -0.650%K -0.891%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 15:35
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.67%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -8.57%E -4.65%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -8.35%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.72%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.53%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 15:36
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 15:26
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.05%EV -9.56%E -5.25%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 15:50
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.26%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 15:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:36
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:36
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:36
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.85%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -12.54%E -7.13%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 15:25
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 15:49
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -14.03%E -8.11%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-28 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -21.03%E -6.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-28 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -21.03%E -6.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -21.03%E -6.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-28 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -23.42%E -7.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.30%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-28 15:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-08-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-08-28 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-08-28 15:50
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%5.1%2026-08-28 15:50
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%6.1%2026-08-28 15:50