L’École des cotes

Al-Riyadh v Al-Shabab

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Riyadh (Local)

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV +5.82%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.13%25.45%25.61%26.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.693.704.1430.30%27.08%27.03%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Shabab (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.27%2.03cote équitable
EV -5.41%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -5.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.73%49.30%49.30%51.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.821.9258.82%55.05%54.95%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.631%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.41%25.25%25.10%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.653.9032.26%27.81%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.14I 24.15%NM 23.42%EV +5.82%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.108%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 17:55
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:54
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:54
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:55
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.311%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -0.311%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -13.29%E -7.55%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:55
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -0.311%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -13.29%E -7.55%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.78%EV -15.26%E -8.87%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 17:55
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.78%EV -15.26%E -8.87%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 17:55
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -16.25%E -9.56%K -23.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 17:55
Pinnacle3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.54%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:45
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:55
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 17:54
Betclic (FR)3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.33%E -5.68%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:38
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 17:55
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 17:34
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 17:55
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -10.33%E -5.68%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 17:39
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -21.97%E -7.09%K -10.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 17:54
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.36%E -4.50%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 17:34
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.35%E -5.08%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 17:34
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 17:30
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 17:34
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 17:34
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 17:34
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.65%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -13.78%E -7.88%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-05 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-05 17:55
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-04-05 17:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-04-05 17:55