La escuela de los momiosAl-Riyadh v Al-Shabab
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Predicción 25.56%3.91momio equitativo
EV +5.82%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.85%
Crecimiento +0.108%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.13%25.45%25.61%26.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.693.704.1430.30%27.08%27.03%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Shabab (Visitante)
Predicción 49.27%2.03momio equitativo
EV -5.41%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -5.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.73%49.30%49.30%51.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.821.9258.82%55.05%54.95%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.17%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.631%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.41%25.25%25.10%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.653.9032.26%27.81%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.42%EV +5.82%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.108% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV +0.967%E +0.245%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.311%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -12.30%E -6.91%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -0.311%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -13.29%E -7.55%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -0.311%E -0.080%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -13.29%E -7.55%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.78%EV -15.26%E -8.87%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -1.59%E -0.413%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.78%EV -15.26%E -8.87%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -2.87%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -16.25%E -9.56%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.54%EV -5.41%E -2.82%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.33%E -5.68%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -10.33%E -5.68%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 17:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.32%E -6.29%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -21.97%E -7.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.36%E -4.50%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.35%E -5.08%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.86%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.65%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -13.78%E -7.88%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-05 17:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |