La scuola delle quote

Al-Riyadh v Al-Ittihad

Inizio: 2026-03-13 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 19.70%5.08quota equa
EV +7.54%
Vantaggio +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescita +0.128%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.41%19.77%19.66%21.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.874.805.4623.81%20.55%20.83%18.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ittihad (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.74%1.73quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.27%57.62%57.79%60.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.561.561.6967.57%64.20%64.10%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.56%4.43quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -0.531%
Kelly -0.691%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.70%22.61%22.55%24.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.994.004.3328.57%25.06%25.00%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet5.46I 18.32%NM 17.79%EV +7.54%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.128%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.49%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.72%EV -11.33%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 18:59
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV +4.39%E +0.829%K +1.02%G +0.045%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:00
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.23%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:00
ATG (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:00
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.29%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:00
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:00
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 19:00
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.06%EV -14.54%E -9.83%K -30.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -10.87%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:00
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 19.60%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.96%EV -2.75%E -0.638%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.30%E -0.531%K -0.691%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:00
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -10.50%E -6.78%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 18:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:00
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 18:59
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:59
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:00
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -8.41%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.96%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -8.62%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:52
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 19:00
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.27%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -16.52%E -4.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.39%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%EV -10.87%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 19:00
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.03%E -6.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-13 19:00
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -15.30%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.86%EV -12.24%E -8.05%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.05%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 19:00
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.27%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.50%E -6.78%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-03-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-13 19:00
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-03-13 19:00
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.28%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%4.1%2026-03-13 19:00