L’École des cotes

Al-Riyadh v Al-Ittihad

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Riyadh (Local)

Prévision 19.70%5.08cote équitable
EV +7.54%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.128%

avec la cote maximale 5.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.41%19.77%19.66%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.874.805.4623.81%20.55%20.83%18.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Ittihad (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.74%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%57.62%57.79%60.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.6967.57%64.20%64.10%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.56%4.43cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.531%
Kelly -0.691%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%22.61%22.55%24.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.994.004.3328.57%25.06%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet5.46I 18.32%NM 17.79%EV +7.54%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.128%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.49%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.72%EV -11.33%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 18:59
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV +4.39%E +0.829%K +1.02%G +0.045%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 19:00
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.23%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:00
ATG (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:00
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.29%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:00
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:00
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 19:00
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.06%EV -14.54%E -9.83%K -30.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -10.87%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:00
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 19.60%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.96%EV -2.75%E -0.638%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.30%E -0.531%K -0.691%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:00
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -10.50%E -6.78%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 18:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:00
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 18:59
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:59
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:00
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -8.41%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.96%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -8.62%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:52
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 19:00
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.27%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -16.52%E -4.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.39%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%EV -10.87%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 19:00
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.03%E -6.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-13 19:00
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -15.30%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.86%EV -12.24%E -8.05%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.05%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 19:00
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.27%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.50%E -6.78%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-03-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-13 19:00
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-03-13 19:00
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.28%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%4.1%2026-03-13 19:00