La escuela de los momiosAl-Riyadh v Al-Ittihad
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Predicción 19.70%5.08momio equitativo
EV +7.54%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.128%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.41%19.77%19.66%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.874.805.4623.81%20.55%20.83%18.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ittihad (Visitante)
Predicción 57.74%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%57.62%57.79%60.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.561.561.6967.57%64.20%64.10%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.56%4.43momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.531%
Kelly -0.691%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.70%22.61%22.55%24.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.994.004.3328.57%25.06%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.79%EV +7.54%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.128% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.49%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.72%EV -11.33%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV +4.39%E +0.829%K +1.02%G +0.045% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.23%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.41%E +0.649%K +0.802%G +0.027% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.29%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV +2.42%E +0.466%K +0.577%G +0.014% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -11.08%E -7.20%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.75%EV -12.81%E -8.49%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.06%EV -14.54%E -9.83%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -10.87%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.60%EV -4.87%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.96%EV -2.75%E -0.638%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.30%E -0.531%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -10.50%E -6.78%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -8.41%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.96%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -8.62%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 18:52 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.93%E -6.36%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.27%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -16.52%E -4.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.39%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%EV -10.87%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.35%E -5.95%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.03%E -6.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -15.30%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.86%EV -12.24%E -8.05%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.05%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.27%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.50%E -6.78%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.28% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.68% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |