La scuola delle quote

Al-Riyadh v Al-Ahli

Inizio: 2026-02-26 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 12.58%7.95quota equa
EV +0.615%
Vantaggio +0.077%
Kelly +0.088%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.20%12.77%12.61%14.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.347.508.0016.67%13.62%13.33%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ahli (Trasferta)

Previsione 67.57%1.48quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -6.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.50%67.37%67.51%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.341.331.4477.52%74.76%75.19%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.86%5.04quota equa
EV -0.709%
Vantaggio -0.142%
Kelly -0.177%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.26%19.85%19.88%21.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.564.605.0025.00%21.92%21.74%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 18:55
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 18:55
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 18:55
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 18:55
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 18:55
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -4.68%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 18:55
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:55
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 18:55
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -12.17%E -9.36%K -40.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 18:55
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -1.90%E -0.244%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -8.79%E -6.51%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 18:55
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.55%EV -7.44%E -5.43%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 18:55
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -14.01%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 18:56
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -12.84%E -9.95%K -44.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 18:55
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -12.84%E -9.95%K -44.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.57%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.74%EV -12.17%E -9.36%K -40.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -20.57%E -5.14%K -6.86%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 18:55
Pinnacle7.30I 13.70%NM 12.95%EV -8.19%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.00%EV -6.08%E -4.38%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.06%EV -1.50%E -0.303%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 18:55
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -8.82%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.15%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.709%E -0.142%K -0.177%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 18:55
Unibet (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -8.82%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.47%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -12.62%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -8.82%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.94%EV -11.49%E -8.77%K -37.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.78%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-26 18:53
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -2.71%E -1.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 18:55
Winamax (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -12.17%E -9.36%K -40.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -4.68%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-26 18:55
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.01%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 18:55
1xBet6.58I 15.20%NM 13.82%EV -17.24%E -2.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.40%EV -7.44%E -5.43%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 18:55
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-26 18:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-26 18:55
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-26 18:55
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-26 18:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-02-26 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-02-26 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-02-26 18:55
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.23%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.8%2026-02-26 18:55