La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Riyadh v Al-Ahli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Predicción 12.58%7.95momio equitativo
EV +0.615%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.088%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.20%12.77%12.61%14.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.347.508.0016.67%13.62%13.33%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Ahli (Visitante)
Predicción 67.57%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.50%67.37%67.51%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.341.331.4477.52%74.76%75.19%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.86%5.04momio equitativo
EV -0.709%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.177%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.26%19.85%19.88%21.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.564.605.0025.00%21.92%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -4.68%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.67%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV +0.615%E +0.077%K +0.088%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -12.17%E -9.36%K -40.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -1.90%E -0.244%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -8.79%E -6.51%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.55%EV -7.44%E -5.43%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -14.01%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-26 18:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -12.84%E -9.95%K -44.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -12.84%E -9.95%K -44.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.57%EV -5.67%E -0.757%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.74%EV -12.17%E -9.36%K -40.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -20.57%E -5.14%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.95%EV -8.19%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.00%EV -6.08%E -4.38%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.06%EV -1.50%E -0.303%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -8.82%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.15%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -0.709%E -0.142%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -8.82%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.47%EV -10.81%E -8.19%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -12.62%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -8.82%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.94%EV -11.49%E -8.77%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.78%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-26 18:53 |
| Coral | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -2.71%E -1.88%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -12.17%E -9.36%K -40.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -4.68%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -11.96%E -1.71%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.14%E -7.62%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.01%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 6.58I 15.20%NM 13.82%EV -17.24%E -2.62%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.40%EV -7.44%E -5.43%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -24.54%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.23% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 1.8% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |