Language:English
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Faisaly KSA FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Prediction 79.09%1.26fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -20.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.65%79.18%78.88%82.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.141.131.2193.46%87.57%88.50%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit)
Prediction 8.61%11.61fair odd
EV +11.94%
Edge +0.919%
Kelly +0.995%
Growth +0.119%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.91%8.57%8.44%9.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.6012.2513.0011.11%8.62%8.16%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.30%8.13fair odd
EV +8.85%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 8.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.66%12.25%12.68%13.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.407.508.8515.38%13.52%13.33%11.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Qadsiah (Local): 79.09%; Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit): 8.61%; Draw: 12.30%. For Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.61. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.43%EV -4.30%E -3.56%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.49%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 12.09%EV -0.989%E -0.123%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -11.42%E -10.20%K -95.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +4.55%E +0.535%K +0.606%G +0.028% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.12%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV -4.68%E -0.604%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -12.21%E -11.00%K -111.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -12.21%E -11.00%K -111.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.17%EV -12.21%E -11.00%K -111.01%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.12%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.46%EV -13.79%E -12.65%K -153.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.46%EV -13.79%E -12.65%K -153.25%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 80.75%EV -15.37%E -14.37%K -219.63%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.34%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +3.33%E +0.278%K +0.303%G +0.010% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +3.33%E +0.278%K +0.303%G +0.010% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.35%EV -8.26%E -7.12%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 11.82I 8.46%NM 7.98%EV +1.78%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.66%EV +8.85%E +1.00%K +1.13%G +0.100% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -5.28%E -0.480%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.80%EV -9.84%E -8.63%K -70.27%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV -7.43%E -0.691%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.74%EV -4.68%E -0.604%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.29%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +4.55%E +0.535%K +0.606%G +0.028% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.74%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.60%E -0.201%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.71%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -20.05%E -3.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.32%EV -8.26%E -7.12%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -18.19%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -9.05%E -7.87%K -60.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -22.50%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.65%EV -9.05%E -7.87%K -60.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -22.50%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -20.05%E -3.09%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 6.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00% | 0.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.76% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 0.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.76% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 0.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.28% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.38% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.15% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.47% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |