默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Faisaly KSA FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 18:00 UTC

最终结果: Al-Qadsiah 3–1 Al-Faisaly KSA FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Qadsiah (主队)

预测 79.09%1.26公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -3.56%
Kelly -20.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.21

博彩公司预测分布
76.65%79.18%78.88%82.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.141.131.2193.46%87.57%88.50%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Faisaly KSA FC (客队)

预测 8.61%11.61公平赔率
EV +11.94%
优势 +0.919%
Kelly +0.995%
增长率 +0.119%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.91%8.57%8.44%9.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.6012.2513.0011.11%8.62%8.16%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.30%8.13公平赔率
EV +8.85%
优势 +1.00%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.100%

假设最高赔率为 8.85

博彩公司预测分布
10.66%12.25%12.68%13.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.407.508.8515.38%13.52%13.33%11.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Qadsiah (主队):79.09%;Al-Faisaly KSA FC (客队):8.61%;平局:12.30%。 对于“Al-Faisaly KSA FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.61。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为13.00,对应+11.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.43%EV -4.30%E -3.56%K -20.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.49%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%8.05I 12.42%NM 12.09%EV -0.989%E -0.123%K -0.140%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -11.42%E -10.20%K -95.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +4.55%E +0.535%K +0.606%G +0.028%8.7%2026-08-30 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.12%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV -4.68%E -0.604%K -0.693%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -12.21%E -11.00%K -111.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -12.21%E -11.00%K -111.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV +11.94%E +0.919%K +0.995%G +0.119%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.17%EV -12.21%E -11.00%K -111.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.12%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.46%EV -13.79%E -12.65%K -153.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.46%EV -13.79%E -12.65%K -153.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 80.75%EV -15.37%E -14.37%K -219.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.91%EV +7.64%E +0.611%K +0.664%G +0.051%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.34%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +3.33%E +0.278%K +0.303%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +3.33%E +0.278%K +0.303%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.35%EV -8.26%E -7.12%K -51.60%G +0.000%11.82I 8.46%NM 7.98%EV +1.78%E +0.151%K +0.165%G +0.003%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.66%EV +8.85%E +1.00%K +1.13%G +0.100%6.0%2026-08-30 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -5.28%E -0.480%K -0.528%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.80%EV -9.84%E -8.63%K -70.27%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV -7.43%E -0.691%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.74%EV -4.68%E -0.604%K -0.693%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 17:49
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.29%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +4.55%E +0.535%K +0.606%G +0.028%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.74%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.60%E -0.201%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:55
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -7.47%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.71%EV -10.63%E -9.41%K -81.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -13.89%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -20.05%E -3.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.32%EV -8.26%E -7.12%K -51.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -18.19%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -7.75%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -9.05%E -7.87%K -60.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -22.50%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -13.90%E -1.99%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 76.65%EV -9.05%E -7.87%K -60.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -22.50%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -20.05%E -3.09%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%16.67I 6.00%NM 6.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 10.00%0.0%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.76%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%0.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.76%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.86%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%0.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.28%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%0.9%2026-08-30 17:55
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.38%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.15%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.47%1.6%2026-08-30 17:55