Language:English
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ettifaq
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Prediction 73.56%1.36fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -4.56%
Kelly -20.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.86%73.73%73.71%76.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.221.221.2886.96%82.06%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ettifaq (Visit)
Prediction 11.15%8.97fair odd
EV +17.11%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.308%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.91%10.99%11.06%12.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.628.7510.5014.81%11.59%11.43%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.28%6.54fair odd
EV -0.660%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.120%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.36%15.28%15.23%16.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.916.006.5018.18%16.91%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Qadsiah (Local): 73.56%; Al-Ettifaq (Visit): 11.15%; Draw: 15.28%. For Al-Ettifaq (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.97. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +17.11%E +1.63%K +1.80%G +0.308% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.660%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.04%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.36%EV +8.75%E +0.897%K +1.000%G +0.087% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 05:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +5.96%E +0.627%K +0.701%G +0.042% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +5.96%E +0.627%K +0.701%G +0.042% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 05:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV +5.96%E +0.627%K +0.701%G +0.042% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.26%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.25%EV +1.50%E +0.165%K +0.185%G +0.003% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.49%EV -1.58%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -12.46%E -10.47%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.36%E -1.96%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.83%EV -13.20%E -11.18%K -73.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.83%EV -13.20%E -11.18%K -73.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.57%E -5.18%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 05:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 74.59%EV -15.40%E -13.39%K -102.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.09%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.32%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -7.98%E -0.968%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.77%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.11%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 8.04I 12.44%NM 11.52%EV -10.32%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.221%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 03:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 04:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 04:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 04:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.88%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.51%EV -15.23%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.62%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 15:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.58%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -19.14%E -2.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.86%EV -10.99%E -9.08%K -52.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -24.71%E -3.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.26%EV -12.89%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.01% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.01% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.82% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.03% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.12% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.71% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.16% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |