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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ettifaq

开赛时间： 2026-09-11 15:25 UTC

最终结果： Al-Qadsiah 3–3 Al-Ettifaq

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Qadsiah (主队)

预测 73.56%1.36公平赔率
EV -5.84%
优势 -4.56%
Kelly -20.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
71.86%73.73%73.71%76.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.221.221.2886.96%82.06%81.97%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ettifaq (客队)

预测 11.15%8.97公平赔率
EV +17.11%
优势 +1.63%
Kelly +1.80%
增长率 +0.308%

假设最高赔率为 10.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.91%10.99%11.06%12.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.758.628.7510.5014.81%11.59%11.43%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.28%6.54公平赔率
EV -0.660%
优势 -0.102%
Kelly -0.120%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.36%15.28%15.23%16.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.916.006.5018.18%16.91%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Qadsiah (主队)：73.56%；Al-Ettifaq (客队)：11.15%；平局：15.28%。 对于“Al-Ettifaq (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.97。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.50，对应+17.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +17.11%E +1.63%K +1.80%G +0.308%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.660%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 07:09
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.04%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.36%EV +8.75%E +0.897%K +1.000%G +0.087%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 05:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +5.96%E +0.627%K +0.701%G +0.042%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +5.96%E +0.627%K +0.701%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 05:40
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV +5.96%E +0.627%K +0.701%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 20:10
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.26%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.59%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.25%EV +1.50%E +0.165%K +0.185%G +0.003%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.49%EV -1.58%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -12.46%E -10.47%K -65.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -11.36%E -1.96%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.83%EV -13.20%E -11.18%K -73.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.83%EV -13.20%E -11.18%K -73.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV +0.383%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -5.84%E -4.56%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.57%E -5.18%K -24.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 22:44
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 74.59%EV -15.40%E -13.39%K -102.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.09%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.32%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-09 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -9.52%E -7.74%K -41.38%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -7.98%E -0.968%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.77%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.11%EV -8.05%E -6.44%K -32.18%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.52%EV -10.32%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.221%K -0.261%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 03:35
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 04:15
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 04:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 04:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.25%E -8.40%K -46.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 04:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.88%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.51%EV -15.23%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.62%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 15:31
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.56%EV -11.72%E -9.77%K -58.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-09 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.58%EV -8.78%E -7.08%K -36.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -19.14%E -2.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.86%EV -10.99%E -9.08%K -52.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.88%EV -24.71%E -3.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.26%EV -12.89%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-08 22:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%0.9%2026-09-09 17:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.01%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-09-09 17:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.01%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-09-09 17:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.03%4.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 73.12%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.71%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.16%8.5%2026-09-09 15:00