L’École des cotes

Al-Okhdood v Al-Fateh

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 15:57 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Okhdood (Local)

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV +2.34%
Avantage +0.536%
Kelly +0.695%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.19%23.51%23.42%24.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.984.3728.57%25.52%25.13%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Fateh (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.14%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.04%53.10%53.03%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.721.731.8159.88%58.17%57.80%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.44%4.27cote équitable
EV +0.799%
Avantage +0.186%
Kelly +0.242%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.11%23.39%23.55%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.804.3030.77%26.24%26.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.37I 22.88%NM 22.19%EV +2.34%E +0.536%K +0.695%G +0.016%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.57%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 15:54
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:55
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 15:55
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.13%E -5.34%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:55
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.13%E -5.34%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:55
Pinnacle3.98I 25.13%NM 23.88%EV -6.79%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.01%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +0.799%E +0.186%K +0.242%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-05 15:54
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 15:55
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 15:55
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.84%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -7.41%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:53
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.84%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 15:53
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.84%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.94%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:55
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -23.82%E -7.33%K -10.58%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-05 15:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 15:55
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 15:54
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 15:54
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 15:54
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 15:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-04-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 27.87%1.75I 57.14%NM 44.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.87%29.1%2026-04-05 15:55
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 16.24%1.01I 99.01%NM 67.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 16.24%46.6%2026-04-05 15:55