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Al-Okhdood v Al-Fateh
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Okhdood (Local)
Predicción 23.42%4.27momio equitativo
EV +2.34%
Ventaja +0.536%
Kelly +0.695%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.19%23.51%23.42%24.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.923.984.3728.57%25.52%25.13%22.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Al-Fateh (Visitante)
Predicción 53.14%1.88momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -4.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.04%53.10%53.03%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.731.8159.88%58.17%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.44%4.27momio equitativo
EV +0.799%
Ventaja +0.186%
Kelly +0.242%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.11%23.39%23.55%26.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.804.3030.77%26.24%26.32%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Al-Okhdood (Local): 23.42%; Al-Fateh (Visitante): 53.14%; Empate: 23.44%. Para Al-Okhdood (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.27. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.37, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.19%EV +2.34%E +0.536%K +0.695%G +0.016% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.57%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -3.98%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.13%E -5.34%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.32%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.13%E -5.34%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.88%EV -6.79%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.01%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV +0.799%E +0.186%K +0.242%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.84%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -7.41%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 15:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.84%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 15:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.84%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.94%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.01%E -2.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -23.82%E -7.33%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.69%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.07%E -4.66%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -18.03%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -12.09%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 27.87% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 44.27% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 27.87% | 29.1% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 16.24% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 67.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 16.24% | 46.6% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |