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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Al-Nassr v Abha Club

開賽時間： 2026-09-09 18:00 UTC

最終賽果： Al-Nassr 2–1 Abha Club

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Al-Nassr (主隊)

預測 82.93%1.21公平賠率
EV -4.63%
優勢 -4.03%
Kelly -30.88%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.15

博彩公司預測分布
80.75%82.98%83.18%85.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.061.111.101.1594.34%90.39%90.91%86.96%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Abha Club (客隊)

預測 6.20%16.12公平賠率
EV +5.48%
優勢 +0.322%
Kelly +0.343%
成長率 +0.019%

假設最高賠率為 17.00

博彩公司預測分布
5.41%6.23%6.18%7.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
12.0014.5115.0017.008.33%6.89%6.67%5.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 10.87%9.20公平賠率
EV +16.27%
優勢 +1.52%
Kelly +1.68%
成長率 +0.273%

假設最高賠率為 10.70

博彩公司預測分布
8.74%10.79%10.64%12.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.008.187.7510.7014.29%12.23%12.90%9.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Al-Nassr (主隊)：82.93%；Abha Club (客隊)：6.20%；和局：10.87%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於9.20的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為10.70，對應+16.27%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.76%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.48%E +0.322%K +0.343%G +0.019%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.74%EV +16.27%E +1.52%K +1.68%G +0.273%7.0%2026-09-09 17:31
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.13%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.26%G +0.000%15.66I 6.39%NM 6.03%EV -2.83%E -0.181%K -0.193%G +0.000%10.69I 9.35%NM 8.84%EV +16.16%E +1.51%K +1.67%G +0.270%5.8%2026-09-09 16:41
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.03%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:36
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:45
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +5.48%E +0.322%K +0.343%G +0.019%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -16.24%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -7.64%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -7.64%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.28%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.17%EV -22.44%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.64%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.50%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.15%EV -8.48%E -0.575%K -0.617%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.39%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -0.724%E -0.045%K -0.048%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:16
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:16
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:16
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 12:16
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:31
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:31
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -25.54%E -2.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 17:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -10.44%E -9.66%K -130.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.07%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.31%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.07%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.31%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 81.49%EV -12.10%E -11.41%K -201.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.17%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.34%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-09 12:16
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.18%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%1.2%2026-09-09 17:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.07%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.06%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%1.3%2026-09-09 17:41
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.96%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.18%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.96%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.19%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-09-09 17:31