Langue:Français
Al-Nassr v Abha Club
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 82.93%1.21cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -4.03%
Kelly -30.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.75%82.98%83.18%85.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.111.101.1594.34%90.39%90.91%86.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Abha Club (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.20%16.12cote équitable
EV +5.48%
Avantage +0.322%
Kelly +0.343%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.41%6.23%6.18%7.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
12.0014.5115.0017.008.33%6.89%6.67%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 10.87%9.20cote équitable
EV +16.27%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.273%
avec la cote maximale 10.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.74%10.79%10.64%12.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.187.7510.7014.29%12.23%12.90%9.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Nassr (Local) : 82.93% ; Abha Club (Visiteur) : 6.20% ; Match nul : 10.87%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.20. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.70, soit une espérance positive de +16.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.76%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +5.48%E +0.322%K +0.343%G +0.019% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.74%EV +16.27%E +1.52%K +1.68%G +0.273% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.13%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 15.66I 6.39%NM 6.03%EV -2.83%E -0.181%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 10.69I 9.35%NM 8.84%EV +16.16%E +1.51%K +1.67%G +0.270% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.03%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +5.48%E +0.322%K +0.343%G +0.019% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.77%EV -16.24%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -7.64%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.78%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -7.64%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.28%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.17%EV -22.44%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.64%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.50%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 14.75I 6.78%NM 6.15%EV -8.48%E -0.575%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.39%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -0.724%E -0.045%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.93%E -0.462%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -25.54%E -2.13%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -10.44%E -9.66%K -130.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -19.34%E -1.49%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.07%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.31%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.07%EV -9.61%E -8.81%K -106.75%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.31%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 81.49%EV -12.10%E -11.41%K -201.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.17%EV -13.13%E -0.938%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.34%EV -23.94%E -3.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-09 12:16 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.18% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.07% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.06% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.96% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.18% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.96% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.19% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |