La scuola delle quote

Al-Najma v Damac

Inizio: 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Najma (Casa)

Previsione 33.15%3.02quota equa
EV +2.11%
Vantaggio +0.684%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.25%33.08%33.18%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.852.833.0840.00%35.05%35.34%32.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Damac (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.47%2.53quota equa
EV -5.27%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.58%39.58%39.44%41.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.252.232.4046.51%44.39%44.84%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.38%3.65quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -0.632%
Kelly -0.877%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%27.34%27.38%29.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.273.253.5734.72%30.58%30.77%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.48%EV +2.11%E +0.684%K +1.01%G +0.021%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.57%EV -5.67%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.94%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 18:55
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:55
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:55
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:55
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:55
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:55
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:55
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -0.547%E -0.182%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -0.547%E -0.182%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -15.14%E -7.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -13.75%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -15.14%E -7.04%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -13.75%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 18:55
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -2.25%E -0.632%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 13:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 18:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-12 18:55
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-12 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.89%EV -10.80%E -4.78%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 13:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-12 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 13:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -21.15%E -7.34%K -11.25%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-12 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -12.15%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-12 13:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-12 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-12 18:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%3.1%2026-03-12 18:55