L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Al-Najma v Damac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Najma (Local)
Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV +2.11%
Avantage +0.684%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 3.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.25%33.08%33.18%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.833.0840.00%35.05%35.34%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damac (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.47%2.53cote équitable
EV -5.27%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -3.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.58%39.58%39.44%41.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.252.232.4046.51%44.39%44.84%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -0.877%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.34%27.38%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.5734.72%30.58%30.77%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.48%EV +2.11%E +0.684%K +1.01%G +0.021% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.57%EV -5.67%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.94%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -0.547%E -0.182%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -0.547%E -0.182%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -15.14%E -7.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -13.75%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -15.14%E -7.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -13.75%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -2.25%E -0.632%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.89%EV -10.80%E -4.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -21.15%E -7.34%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -12.15%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |