La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Najma v Damac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Najma (Local)
Predicción 33.15%3.02momio equitativo
EV +2.11%
Ventaja +0.684%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.25%33.08%33.18%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.852.833.0840.00%35.05%35.34%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Damac (Visitante)
Predicción 39.47%2.53momio equitativo
EV -5.27%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.58%39.58%39.44%41.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.232.4046.51%44.39%44.84%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -0.877%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.34%27.38%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5734.72%30.58%30.77%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.48%EV +2.11%E +0.684%K +1.01%G +0.021% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.57%EV -5.67%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.94%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV +1.11%E +0.364%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -11.98%E -5.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -0.547%E -0.182%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -0.547%E -0.182%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -15.14%E -7.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -13.75%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -15.14%E -7.04%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -13.75%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.46%E -2.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.52%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -2.25%E -0.632%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.06%E -2.55%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -15.12%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.89%EV -10.80%E -4.78%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -10.49%E -3.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -21.15%E -7.34%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -12.15%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -11.19%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |