La scuola delle quote

Al-Najma v Al-Taawoun

Inizio: 2026-04-23 16:12 UTC

Finale: Al-Najma 1–2 Al-Taawoun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Najma (Casa)

Previsione 17.38%5.75quota equa
EV -3.35%
Vantaggio -0.603%
Kelly -0.735%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.55%17.46%17.33%18.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.115.105.5620.83%19.58%19.61%17.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Taawoun (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.83%1.64quota equa
EV +0.984%
Vantaggio +0.593%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.46%60.74%60.79%61.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.501.6669.44%66.08%66.67%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.78%4.59quota equa
EV -1.97%
Vantaggio -0.439%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.78%21.80%21.88%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.064.004.5027.78%24.64%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet5.19I 19.27%NM 18.70%EV -9.78%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.46%EV +0.984%E +0.593%K +1.49%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:09
Pinnacle5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV -3.35%E -0.603%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.22%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -4.81%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.74%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.97%E -0.439%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:09
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:09
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:09
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:09
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:08
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:10
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -11.35%E -2.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -11.35%E -2.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.40%E -0.799%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:10
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.40%E -0.799%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:10
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.40%E -0.799%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:10
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 16:10
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:10
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:10
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:09
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -9.61%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.39%EV -9.97%E -6.73%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -9.97%E -6.73%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 16:09
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.51%EV -9.97%E -6.73%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 16:10
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -8.74%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.81%EV -10.57%E -7.19%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:07
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 16:09
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.87%EV -16.56%E -3.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.56%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -17.22%E -4.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.09%E -2.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.40%E -8.61%K -28.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -21.58%E -5.99%K -8.30%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%1.0%2026-04-23 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-04-23 16:10
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-04-23 16:10
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.29%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-04-23 16:10